The higher this ratio, the more people depend on the government, the higher the rest of society’s burden for supporting them. About 23 nations – including Spain and Japan – are expected to see their populations halve by 2100. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. The research which was conducted by the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation states that the general population of the world will drop due to a reduction in fertility rates. Asia has a few decades to prepare: its dependency ratio, currently low, will stay low until it starts to rise around 2050. In 2100, the population of Nigeria may reach 794 million. Population = Births** - Deaths. (6) The future of the developed world is American. This also implies that countries would age dramatically, with as many people turning 80 as there are being born. The country is already troubled by corruption, poverty and religious conflict. Meanwhile, the rest of the world is going to see the opposite trend, and that’s bad news. (Culled From The Washington Post) The United Nations Population Division, which tracks demographic data from around the world, has dramatically revised its projections for what will happen in the next 90 years. That typically leads to instability and a higher risk of conflict. Look, for example, at the Arab world today, where a youth bulge contributed to the protests that became revolutions in some cases and civil wars in others. If the number falls below approximately 2.1, then the size of the population starts to fall. The “developing countries,” the green line, includes countries such as Mexico or Russia or Brazil; China and India would normally be in this category but I’ve pulled them out. Sub-Saharan Africa, meanwhile, will triple in size to some three billion people, with Nigeria alone expanding to almost 800 million in 2100, second only to India’s 1.1 billion. If these numbers turn out to be right – they’re just projections and could change significantly under unforeseen circumstances – the world of 2100 will look very different than the world of today, with implications for everyone. Proudly Nigerian Blog...Entertainment,Lifestyle,Fashion News on The Go. The new statistics, based on in-depth survey data from sub-Saharan Africa, tell the story of a world poised to change drastically over the next several decades. It’s not a mystery: the country’s massive working-age population is only allowed to have one child per couple, which means that when the current generation retires, there will be a rapidly growing pool of retirees just as the workforce starts to shrink. As has happened in the West, rising economies will lead to declining birth rates. Another way of putting it is that 40 out of every 140 people is a child or elderly person. The fertility rate is dropping because women are getting better education and spending more time working coupled with greater access to contraceptives. Usually, countries see their populations decline as soon as they get rich, making their success almost self-defeating. How are dey sure dis Nigeria will b one one entity by dat tym? The two big stories here are China and Nigeria, the latter of which will have almost a billion people by 2100 and will be within range of surpassing China in population. It projects the population to actually peak at 9.7 billion in 2064. And it’s not just that there will four times the workforce, four times the resource burden, four times as many voters. Nigeria’s Population To Overtake China’s By 2100 –University Of Washington Study by Islie: 1:40pm On Jul 15 The study predicts that within the same period, Nigeria’s population will hit 791 million, making it the second-largest country in the world. Digging in to the data on African population growth finds that it’s mostly in the continent’s sub-Saharan region. Nigeria might then be the 3rd most populous country in the world. It’s not quite as pronounced as in the United States, but it will likely help them avoid some of the demographic-led economic decline projected in the rest of Europe. Asia will continue to grow but its population growth, already slowing, is expected to peak about 50 years from now then start declining. (More on this further down.). Copyright © 2006 - 2020 Osun Defender, All rights reserved. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. This chart shows the futures of what are, today, the world’s five most populous nations. (5) Systemic shift to developing and least-developed countries. The population of the United Kingdom is predicted to peak at 75 million in 2063, and fall to 71 million by 2100. Right now, many African countries aren’t particularly adept at either governance or resource management. (8) Narrowing, but not closing, the life expectancy gap. That’s a huge burden on society and a big contributor to poverty. Pause for a moment to consider Asia’s boom over the last 50 years – the rise of first Japan, then South Korea, now China and maybe next India – and the degree to which it’s already changed the world and will continue to change it. Make no mistake, China will continue to be an enormous, important and most likely very successful country, but its demographics are going to quickly shift from a big help to a major hindrance. Following this trajectory, there could be 8.8 billion people in 2100, approximately 2 billion fewer than previously thought. If they don’t improve, exploding population growth could only worsen resource competition – and we’re talking here about basics like food, water and electricity – which in turn makes political instability and conflict more likely. The average lifespan on both continents is going way, way up. Similarly, Italy is expected to see an equally dramatic population crash from 61 million to 28 million over the same timeframe. In just 100 years, maybe two or three generations, the population is expected to increase by a mind-boggling factor of eight. . Keep this in mind the next time someone tells you that China is about to take over the world. The flip side, though, is that having a lot of young people – specifically, young men – can worsen any political instability and can create instability if resources are scarce. Nigeria, currently Africa’s most populous country, is poised for one of the world’s most rapid population booms ever. In 2100, the population of Nigeria may reach 794 million. Whether or not you believe that the U.S.’s global dominance will be challenged by “the rise of the rest,” as Fareed Zakaria describes the coming global development, the demographics strongly suggest that U.S. leadership within the developed world will only strengthen. The idea is that people who are very young or very old are dependent on others to provide for them. If you take the U.S. out of the above chart, that makes it a little easier to see the distinction between developed countries that have robust immigration and those that don’t. The one really hopeful case is the United States, which, as you can see, expects pretty healthy, sustained growth. Population: 732,941,595. Between 1950 and 2050, Asia’s population will have grown by a factor of 3.7, almost quadrupling in just a hundred years. Given that Nigeria is about the area of Texas, that’s a truly astounding possibility. But as the birth rate slows and those young dependents enter the work force, the dependency ratio is going to fall, dropping to 60 percent by 2055. Murray, who is a former Director of the Harvard Centre for Population and Development Studies, said, “We will have many more people of African descent in many more countries as we go through this. It’s difficult to imagine how a government that can barely serve its population right now will respond when the demand on resources, social services, schools and roads increases by a factor of eight. Ok, by then it will be southern, northern and Eastern. Conversely, the number of over 80-year-olds will soar from 141 million in 2017 to 866 million within the same period. This chart shows Asian and African populations from 1950 through today and projected ahead to 2100. Murray, who is a former Director of the Harvard Centre for Population and Development Studies, said, “We will have many more people of African descent in many more countries as we go through this. Similarly, Italy is expected to see an equally dramatic population crash from 61 million to 28 million over the same timeframe. The research showed that the global fertility rate nearly halved to 2.4 in 2017 – and their study, published in the Lancet, projects it will fall below 1.7 by 2100. But it’s tough for policymakers to slow this down, for cultural and religious reasons as well as because, even if too-high fertility might be bad for the region, individual families have every economic incentive to have lots of children. Immigration helps the U.S. to do what very few other countries, including China, has yet figured out: how to be a rich country with a growing population. If the number falls below approximately 2.1, then the size of the population starts to fall. That’s an amazing medical accomplishment, but gives economists panic attacks: how do you sustain your economy if the average worker spends a third of his or her life on retirement? Africa is expected to grow even more than Asia. First, the definitions: the “developed” countries, the blue line, include Europe, the United States, Japan, South Korea and other Western countries. And that downturned curve could represent some problematic demographic issues; more also on this further down. As China ages and shrinks, its workforce will get smaller at precisely the moment that it needs them most. But I think we need to lay good foundation for our children, so they will be relevant despite the population. About 21 other countries including Spain, Portugal, Thailand and South Korea are expected to see their population drop by half. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you are happy with it. The “least developed,” in purple, includes, for example, Haiti, Bangladesh and much of Africa. Infant Mortality Rate. Chinese leaders know their demographic crisis is coming. Here is the story of the next 90 years as predicted by UN demographic data and explained in nine charts. The current population density of Nigeria in 2020 is 223.15 people per square kilometer, a 2.58% increase from 2019.; The population density of Nigeria in 2019 was 217.55 people per square kilometer, a 2.6% increase from 2018. However, the population of sub-Saharan Africa – arguably the poorest region in the world – is expected to triple in size to more than three billion people by 2100. Still, if they pull it off – the country’s vast oil reserves could certainly help – the rapidly growing workforce could theoretically deliver an African miracle akin to, say, China’s. On this page you can find past, current and future population statistics for Nigeria (from 1950-2100), population map, demographics, live population counter etc. Nigerian Professor Appointed Vice Chancellor Of Leeds Trinity University, UK (Pix), WASSCE: South-West States To Reopen Schools, Slovenian Club Sacks Nigerian Player For Impregnating President’s Daughter, Seyi Shay is serving body goals in gym wear, Oodua Progressive Union Awards Akogun Banji Ojo. It’s a big, entirely foreseeable danger. Sources: [1] Again, that’s good news for the U.S. The number of children under the age of five will fall from 681 million in 2017 to 401 million in 2100. Especially with d way things are going. Look at how much Korea’s successes have already changed the world. Aregbesola, Yakubu Gowon Visits President Buhari In Aso Rock, Wife Of Osun Governor, Sherifat Aregbesola Initiates Eradication Of Female Circumcision, Zidane Spotted Enjoying Getaway With Wife In France, Zayn Malik And Girlfriend Gigo Hadid Announce Breakup, Zuckerberg Breaks Five Day Silence To Apologize For Breach, Zimbabwe Set o boost horticulture production, Zamfara Farmers To Enjoy CBN Anchor Borrowers Loan, Yam In Nigeria Is Far Better In Taste, Quality – Exporter. (If you’ve ever wondered about the proliferation of child soldiers in Africa, this is part of why: there just aren’t enough 20-something men, but there are lots of children.) The second factor driving Africa’s population boom is birth rates.

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